Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2.335658 2.668610 3.033079 3.461817 3.952591 4.497127 5.147572
2025-08-10 1.787551 2.228801 2.755991 3.433010 4.280633 5.308498 6.652321
2025-08-17 1.472064 1.948141 2.551971 3.375486 4.472025 5.885725 7.853191
2025-08-24 1.296639 1.801843 2.474803 3.439142 4.790048 6.622030 9.307064
2025-08-31 1.160135 1.681667 2.406469 3.490630 5.077861 7.327174 10.776154
2025-09-07 1.030562 1.550974 2.302025 3.469255 5.246722 7.866727 12.050023
2025-09-14 0.913659 1.422670 2.182862 3.406136 5.336964 8.287036 13.174827
2025-09-21 0.823214 1.322854 2.093085 3.373148 5.462004 8.761786 14.420552
2025-09-28 0.742509 1.228667 2.000570 3.322608 5.548085 9.175073 15.598867
2025-10-05 0.726763 1.237254 2.071316 3.542156 6.094057 10.381157 18.216499
2025-10-12 0.676436 1.182322 2.031110 3.569123 6.313654 11.056549 19.982895
2025-10-19 0.648448 1.162522 2.047397 3.693352 6.711312 12.071156 22.449033
2025-10-26 0.595445 1.097765 1.987144 3.690026 6.907462 12.796920 24.564631
2025-11-02 0.542891 1.029170 1.914724 3.659998 7.057988 13.469077 26.689610
2025-11-09 0.492799 0.959207 1.831536 3.598558 7.138398 14.012171 28.619279
2025-11-16 0.464429 0.927574 1.816645 3.666513 7.477145 15.088319 31.746275
2025-11-23 0.437359 0.895371 1.796840 3.721478 7.794008 16.152212 34.972795
2025-11-30 0.404731 0.848296 1.742356 3.698660 7.945604 16.890806 37.588549
2025-12-07 0.371087 0.795493 1.670659 3.631279 7.993542 17.413476 39.787527
2025-12-14 0.343817 0.753354 1.616795 3.596064 8.106661 18.086658 42.404830
2025-12-21 0.317568 0.710699 1.557484 3.542113 8.171020 18.656737 44.848321
2025-12-28 0.316833 0.724678 1.622780 3.776485 8.921638 20.864232 51.470894
2026-01-04 0.300073 0.700432 1.600404 3.805275 9.192015 21.983535 55.563813